Puzzling exchange rate dynamics and delayed portfolio adjustment

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 131
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Bacchetta, Philippe (Université de Lausanne) van Wincoop, Eric (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to show that the proposal by Froot and Thaler (1990) of delayed portfolio adjustment can account for a broad set of puzzles about the relationship between interest rates and exchange rates. The puzzles include: i) the delayed overshooting puzzle; ii) the forward discount puzzle (or Fama puzzle); iii) the predictability reversal puzzle; iv) the Engel puzzle (high interest rate currencies are stronger than implied by UIP); v) the forward guidance exchange rate puzzle; vi) the absence of a forward discount puzzle with long-term bonds. These results are derived analytically in a simple two-country model with portfolio adjustment costs. Quantitatively, this approach can match all targeted moments related to these puzzles.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:inecon:v:131:y:2021:i:c:s0022199621000374
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24