Machine learning advances for time series forecasting

C-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Surveys
Year: 2023
Volume: 37
Issue: 1
Pages: 76-111

Authors (3)

Ricardo P. Masini (not in RePEc) Marcelo C. Medeiros (University of Illinois at Urba...) Eduardo F. Mendes (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper, we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning (ML) and high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods, we pay special attention to penalized regressions and ensemble of models. The nonlinear methods considered in the paper include shallow and deep neural networks, in their feedforward and recurrent versions, and tree‐based methods, such as random forests and boosted trees. We also consider ensemble and hybrid models by combining ingredients from different alternatives. Tests for superior predictive ability are briefly reviewed. Finally, we discuss application of ML in economics and finance and provide an illustration with high‐frequency financial data.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jecsur:v:37:y:2023:i:1:p:76-111
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26