The effect of a Chinese slowdown on inflation in the euro area and the United States

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2017
Volume: 62
Issue: C
Pages: 16-22

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We investigate the effect of a Chinese slowdown on inflation in the euro area and the United States using the NiGEM multi-country model. We construct different scenarios including a fall in Chinese aggregate demand, a commodity price slump, financial market corrections and a devaluation of the renmimbi. While the commodity slump has the strongest impact on inflation, the demand and exchange rate shocks also play a role; on the contrary, financial turbulences have minor effects. Finally, we study the extent to which monetary policy in advanced economies can succeed in reflating the economy following such a Chinese slowdown. The room for central bank interventions is large.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:62:y:2017:i:c:p:16-22
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26