Firms' Precautionary Savings and Employment during a Credit Crisis

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Year: 2024
Volume: 16
Issue: 1
Pages: 356-86

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Can the macroeconomic effects of credit supply shocks be large even when a small share of firms is credit constrained? I use UK firm-level accounting data to discipline a heterogeneous-firm model where the interaction between real and financial frictions induces precautionary cash holdings. In the data, firms increased their cash ratios during the Great Recession, and cash-intensive firms displayed higher employment growth. A tightening of firms' credit conditions generates the same dynamics in the model. Unconstrained firms preemptively respond to credit supply shocks; this precautionary channel, when appropriately quantified, crucially matters for the aggregate dynamics and firm-level patterns.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmac:v:16:y:2024:i:1:p:356-86
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-26