Advance information and asset prices

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory
Year: 2014
Volume: 149
Issue: C
Pages: 236-275

Authors (2)

Albuquerque, Rui (not in RePEc) Miao, Jianjun (Zhejiang University)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper provides a dynamic rational expectations equilibrium model in which investors have heterogeneous information and investment opportunities. Informed investors privately receive advance information about future earnings that is unrelated to current earnings. In response to good advance information, stock prices increase and informed investors act as trend chasers, increasing their investment in stocks. Informed investors also buy other investment opportunities that are positively correlated with stocks, bearing more aggregate risk. The expected risk premium increases generating short-run momentum. Uninformed investors sell stocks, acting as contrarians. When the advance information materializes in the future, excess returns fall, generating long-run reversals.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jetheo:v:149:y:2014:i:c:p:236-275
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26