The impact of consumer confidence on oil prices

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2023
Volume: 124
Issue: C

Authors (5)

Su, Chi-Wei (not in RePEc) Wang, Dan (not in RePEc) Mirza, Nawazish (Excelia Business School) Zhong, Yifan (University of Western Australi...) Umar, Muhammad (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.804 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper studies the interrelationship between Chinese consumer confidence (CC) and the oil market by testing the full-sample and sub-sample. Some empirical conclusions show that CC can positively impact oil price (OP) manifested as high confidence may boost oil demand and lead to higher prices. However, the negative effects of CC on OP cannot support this view, mainly due to the lack of confidence that will lead to lower demand and excess oil supply, which can cause OP to decline while CC remains high. This can be explained by the fact that low OP leads consumers to spend more money on non-essential goods and boost CC. These negative impacts emphasise that economic turmoil will affect OP fluctuation, which makes it different from the intertemporal capital asset pricing model. Under the uncertain oil market, these conclusions benefit Chinese consumers and the government by adjusting oil reserves and steadying national economic growth. It inspires enterprises and the government to prevent sudden changes in OP and stabilise CC.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:124:y:2023:i:c:s0140988323003183
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-26