Fiscal consolidation and public debt

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2025
Volume: 170
Issue: C

Authors (5)

Ando, Sakai (not in RePEc) Mishra, Prachi (Ashoka University) Patel, Nikhil (not in RePEc) Peralta-Alva, Adrian (not in RePEc) Presbitero, Andrea F. (International Monetary Fund (I...)

Score contribution per author:

0.402 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

High public debt is urging policy makers to consider strategies to rebuild buffers and preserve debt sustainability. We study whether—and under which conditions—fiscal consolidation is likely to be associated with a durable reduction in public debt to GDP ratios. Our findings based on a sample of advanced and emerging countries indicate that the average fiscal consolidation has a minimal effect. However, discretionary consolidations (or an increase in the primary balance to GDP beyond what is driven by business cycle considerations) implemented during economic upturns or in scenarios where they can “crowd in” private investment, are likely to be associated with sustained reductions in debt ratios.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:170:y:2025:i:c:s0165188924001908
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-26