The impact of oil shocks on exchange rates: A Markov-switching approach

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2016
Volume: 54
Issue: C
Pages: 11-23

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper uses Markov-switching models to investigate the impact of oil shocks on real exchange rates for a sample of oil exporting and oil importing countries. This is an important topic to study because an oil shock can affect a country's terms of trade which can affect its competitiveness. We detect significant exchange rate appreciation pressures in oil exporting economies after oil demand shocks. We find limited evidence that oil supply shocks affect exchange rates. Global economic demand shocks affect exchange rates in both oil exporting and importing countries, though there is no systematic pattern of appreciating and depreciating real exchange rates. The results lend support to the presence of regime switching for the effects of oil shocks on real exchange rates.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:54:y:2016:i:c:p:11-23
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24