Do unemployment benefit extensions explain the emergence of jobless recoveries?

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2024
Volume: 169
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Mitman, Kurt (Centre for Economic Policy Res...) Rabinovich, Stanislav (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Countercyclical unemployment benefit extensions in the United States act as a propagation mechanism, contributing to the high persistence of unemployment following recent recessions, as well as the weak correlation between unemployment and productivity. We show this by modifying an otherwise standard frictional model of the labor market to incorporate a stochastic and state-dependent process for unemployment insurance estimated on US data. Accounting for movements in both productivity and unemployment insurance, our calibrated model is consistent with post-war labor-market dynamics. It explains the emergence of jobless recoveries in the 1990s, the low correlation between unemployment and productivity, and the apparent shifts in the Beveridge curve following recessions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:169:y:2024:i:c:s0165188924001568
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26