Recessions and recoveries: Multinational banks in the business cycle

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 117
Issue: C
Pages: 203-219

Authors (4)

Cao, Qingqing (not in RePEc) Minetti, Raoul (Michigan State University) Olivero, María Pía (not in RePEc) Romanini, Giacomo (Banca d'Italia)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

How does the expansion of multinational banks influence the business cycle of host countries? We study an economy where multinational banks can transfer liquidity across borders through internal capital markets but are hindered in their allocation of liquidity by limited knowledge of local firms’ assets. We find that, following domestic banking shocks, multinational banks moderate the depth of the contraction but slow down the recovery. A calibration to Polish data suggests that multinational banks reduce the average depth of recessions by about 5% but increase their duration by 10%. The predictions are broadly consistent with evidence from a large panel of countries.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:117:y:2021:i:c:p:203-219
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-26