A comparison of implied and realized volatility in the Nordic power forward market

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2015
Volume: 48
Issue: C
Pages: 288-294

Authors (5)

Birkelund, Ole Henrik (not in RePEc) Haugom, Erik (not in RePEc) Molnár, Peter (Universitetet i Stavanger) Opdal, Martin (not in RePEc) Westgaard, Sjur (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.804 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper we study implied and realized volatility for the Nordic power forward market. We create an implied volatility index with a fixed time to maturity. This index is compared to a realized volatility time series calculated from high-frequency data. The results show that the implied volatility has a positive bias against the realized volatility measure indicating that there is a risk premium imposed by option traders. The results are consistent with previous research in other markets.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:48:y:2015:i:c:p:288-294
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-26