Mortgage Choice as a Natural Field Experiment on Choice under Risk

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2012
Volume: 44
Issue: 7
Pages: 1401-1426

Authors (2)

PHILOMENA M. BACON (not in RePEc) PETER G. MOFFATT (University of East Anglia)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Data on approximately 280,000 borrowers from the UK Survey of Mortgage Lenders are used to model choices between variable and fixed rate mortgages. The choice is assumed to depend on three factors: risk attitude, interest‐rate expectations, and individual discount rate. The ordered probit model is used for estimation, while taking account of a number of econometric issues including missing counterfactuals, selectivity, and endogeneity. A large number of strong effects are found, including: higher income borrowers are less risk averse and have a lower discount rate, and risk aversion rises with the amount borrowed, providing evidence of increasing relative risk aversion.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:44:y:2012:i:7:p:1401-1426
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26