Macroeconomic Spillovers of Weather Shocks Across U.S. States

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2026
Volume: 88
Issue: 1
Pages: 141-156

Authors (3)

Emanuele Bacchiocchi (not in RePEc) Andrea Bastianin (not in RePEc) Graziano Moramarco (Alma Mater Studiorum - Univers...)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We estimate the short‐run effects of weather‐related disasters on local economic activity and cross‐border spillovers that operate through economic linkages between U.S. states. To this end, we use emergency declarations triggered by natural disasters and estimate their effects using a monthly global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model for U.S. states. Impulse responses highlight the nationwide effects of weather‐related disasters that hit individual regions. Taking into account economic linkages between states allows capturing much stronger spillovers than those associated with mere spatial proximity. The results underscore the importance of geographic heterogeneity for impact evaluation and the critical role of supply‐side propagation mechanisms.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:88:y:2026:i:1:p:141-156
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26