Calibration and validation of macroeconomic simulation models by statistical causal search

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Year: 2024
Volume: 228
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We introduce a general procedure for macroeconomic models’ calibration and validation. Configurations of parameters are selected on the basis of a loss function involving a distance between model-derived structural coefficients and their empirical counterparts. These, in both cases, are locally identified by exploiting non-Gaussianity in a structural vector autoregressive framework under a data-driven approach. We use model confidence set to account for the uncertainty in the selection procedure. We provide a measure of validation by comparing (model’s and empirical) shocks-variables structure. We apply our procedure to a complex macroeconomic simulation model that studies the link between climate change and economic growth.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jeborg:v:228:y:2024:i:c:s0167268124004001
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26