On the predictability of narrative fiscal adjustments

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2016
Volume: 143
Issue: C
Pages: 69-72

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper shows that spending-based adjustments identified by DeVries et al. (2011) can be predicted on the basis of past output growth and other macroeconomic variables. Moreover, their contractionary effects vanish once we account for this source of endogeneity while tax-based consolidations remain contractionary.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:143:y:2016:i:c:p:69-72
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26