Debt-stabilizing properties of GDP-linked securities: A macro-finance perspective

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2024
Volume: 162
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the debt-stabilizing properties of indexing debt to GDP using a consumption-based macro-finance model. To this end, we derive quasi-analytical pricing formulas for any type of bond/equity by exploiting the discretization of the state-space, making large-scale simulations tractable. We find that GDP-linked security prices would embed time-varying risk premiums of about 40 basis points. For a fixed budget surplus, issuing GDP-linked securities does not imply more beneficial debt-to-GDP ratios in the long-run, while the debt-stabilizing budget surplus is more predictable at the expense of being higher. Our findings call into question the view that such securities tame debt.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:162:y:2024:i:c:s0378426624000517
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26