Are the Australian and New Zealand stock prices nonlinear with a unit root?

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2005
Volume: 37
Issue: 18
Pages: 2161-2166

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Whether or not stock prices are characterized by a unit root has important implications for policy. For instance, by applying unit root tests one can deduce whether stock returns can be predicted from previous changes in prices. A finding of a unit root implies that stock returns cannot be predicted. This paper investigates whether or not stock prices for Australia and New Zealand can be characterized by a unit root process. An unrestricted two-regime threshold autoregressive model is used with an autoregressive unit root. Among the main results, it is found that the stock prices of both countries are nonlinear processes that are characterized by a unit root process, consistent with the efficient market hypothesis.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2161-2166
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-26