Firm return volatility and economic gains: The role of oil prices

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2014
Volume: 38
Issue: C
Pages: 142-151

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper we investigate whether the oil price contributes to stock return volatility for 560 firms listed on the NYSE. Using daily data, we find that the oil price is a significant determinant and predictor of firm return variance. We devise trading strategies based on forecasts of firm return variance using the oil prices and historical averages. We find that investors can make substantial gains in returns by using the oil price in forecasting firm return variances.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:38:y:2014:i:c:p:142-151
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26