Bayesian Analysis of Latent Threshold Dynamic Models

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Year: 2013
Volume: 31
Issue: 2
Pages: 151-164

Authors (2)

Jouchi Nakajima (Bank of Japan) Mike West (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We discuss a general approach to dynamic sparsity modeling in multivariate time series analysis. Time-varying parameters are linked to latent processes that are thresholded to induce zero values adaptively, providing natural mechanisms for dynamic variable inclusion/selection. We discuss Bayesian model specification, analysis and prediction in dynamic regressions, time-varying vector autoregressions, and multivariate volatility models using latent thresholding. Application to a topical macroeconomic time series problem illustrates some of the benefits of the approach in terms of statistical and economic interpretations as well as improved predictions. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:jnlbes:v:31:y:2013:i:2:p:151-164
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26