The dynamic impact of macroeconomic news on long-term inflation expectations

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2018
Volume: 165
Issue: C
Pages: 39-43

Authors (2)

Hachula, Michael (not in RePEc) Nautz, Dieter (Freie Universität Berlin)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Well-anchored inflation expectations should not react to macroeconomic news. This paper analyzes the dynamics of inflation expectations in a proxy SVAR model, where macro news shocks are identified by their correlation with surprises from macroeconomic news announcements. Our results confirm that macro news shocks have no impact on U.S. long-term inflation expectations in the long run. In the short run, however, the degree of expectations de-anchoring is non-negligible.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:165:y:2018:i:c:p:39-43
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26