Impact of trade liberalisation on labour market and poverty in Sri Lanka. An integrated macro-micro modelling approach

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2016
Volume: 59
Issue: C
Pages: 102-115

Authors (3)

Liyanaarachchi, Tilak S. (not in RePEc) Naranpanawa, Athula (Griffith University) Bandara, Jayatilleke S. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper revisits the long standing controversy of trade and poverty linkage using a macro-micro modelling approach based on general equilibrium and microsimulation analytical frameworks. Sri Lanka, the first country in South Asia which undertook trade reforms more than three decades ago, is taken as a case in point in this study. The paper analyses the effects of trade liberalisation on income distribution and poverty in the urban, rural and estate sectors in Sri Lanka using the first ever microsimulation model built for the country in combination with a multi-household computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The results reveal that without any fiscal policy adjustments a 100% tariff cut would lead to an increase in economic growth and a reduction in poverty incidence both in the short run as well as in the long run. However, when the tariff cut combined with the fiscal policy adjustments to maintain the budget neutrality, poverty outcomes showed mixed results. In contrast, results show that trade liberalisation increases the income inequality in Sri Lanka.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:59:y:2016:i:c:p:102-115
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26