Are Indian stock returns predictable?

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2015
Volume: 58
Issue: C
Pages: 506-531

Authors (2)

Narayan, Paresh Kumar (not in RePEc) Bannigidadmath, Deepa (Deakin University)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper we show that Indian stock returns, based on industry portfolios, portfolios sorted on book-to-market, and on size, are predictable. While we discover that this predictability holds both in in-sample and out-of-sample tests, predictability is not homogenous. Some predictors are important than others and some industries and portfolios of stocks are more predictable and, therefore, more profitable than others. We also discover that a mean combination forecast approach delivers significant out-of-sample performance. Our results survive a battery of robustness tests.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:58:y:2015:i:c:p:506-531
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24