Voting after a major flood: Is there a link between democratic experience and retrospective voting?

B-Tier
Journal: European Economic Review
Year: 2021
Volume: 133
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We explore whether retrospective voting is related to voters’ democratic experience. To this end, we compare the voting behavior in West Germany to the voting behavior in the formerly non-democratic East Germany after a disaster relief program addressing a flood in 2013. Our analysis reveals a 2.2% (or 0.9 percentage points) increase in the vote share for the incumbent party in the flooded municipalities in the East compared to the West. Analyzing an earlier flood, variation of democratic experience within East Germany, and a panel survey provides further evidence that less democratically experienced voters are easier prey to pre-election policies.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eecrev:v:133:y:2021:i:c:s0014292121000180
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26