Second-best probability weighting

B-Tier
Journal: Games and Economic Behavior
Year: 2023
Volume: 138
Issue: C
Pages: 112-125

Authors (2)

Herold, Florian (not in RePEc) Netzer, Nick (Universität Zürich)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Non-linear probability weighting is an integral part of descriptive theories of choice under risk such as prospect theory. But why do these objective errors in information processing exist? Should we try to help individuals overcome their mistake of overweighting small and underweighting large probabilities? In this paper, we argue that probability weighting can be seen as a compensation for preexisting biases in evaluating payoffs. In particular, inverse S-shaped probability weighting is a flipside of S-shaped payoff valuation. Probability distortions may thus have survived as a second-best solution to a fitness maximization problem, and it can be counter-productive to correct them while keeping the value function unchanged.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:gamebe:v:138:y:2023:i:c:p:112-125
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26