The ABC of simulation estimation with auxiliary statistics

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2018
Volume: 205
Issue: 1
Pages: 112-139

Authors (2)

Forneron, Jean-Jacques (not in RePEc) Ng, Serena (Columbia University)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The frequentist method of simulated minimum distance (SMD) is widely used in economics to estimate complex models with an intractable likelihood. In other disciplines, a Bayesian approach known as Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is far more popular. This paper connects these two seemingly related approaches to likelihood-free estimation by means of a Reverse Sampler that uses both optimization and importance weighting to target the posterior distribution. Its hybrid features enable us to analyze an ABC estimate from the perspective of SMD. We show that an ideal ABC estimate can be obtained as a weighted average of a sequence of SMD modes, each being the minimizer of the deviations between the data and the model. This contrasts with the SMD, which is the mode of the average deviations. Using stochastic expansions, we provide a general characterization of frequentist estimators and those based on Bayesian computations including Laplace-type estimators. Their differences are illustrated using analytical examples and a simulation study of the dynamic panel model.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:205:y:2018:i:1:p:112-139
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26