GOVERNMENT DEBT AND BANKING FRAGILITY: THE SPREADING OF STRATEGIC UNCERTAINTY

B-Tier
Journal: International Economic Review
Year: 2018
Volume: 59
Issue: 4
Pages: 1905-1925

Authors (2)

Russell Cooper (not in RePEc) Kalin Nikolov (European Central Bank)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This article studies the interaction of government debt and financial markets. This interaction, termed a “diabolic loop,” is driven by government choice to bail out banks and the resulting incentives for banks to hold government debt instead of self‐insure through equity buffers. We highlight the role of bank equity issuance in determining whether the “diabolic loop” is a Nash equilibrium of the interaction between banks and the government. When equity is issued, no diabolic loop exists. In equilibrium, banks' rational expectations of a bailout ensure that no equity is issued and the sovereign‐bank loop is operative.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:iecrev:v:59:y:2018:i:4:p:1905-1925
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26