Economic policy uncertainty shocks, economic activity, and exchange rate adjustments

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2020
Volume: 186
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We investigate the impact of foreign and domestic economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on the UK economy. Simulations with a structural VAR model indicate that domestic industrial production declines after a shock to the EPU index in the US. On the contrary, disturbances to domestic uncertainty are an important source of real exchange rate fluctuations. Historical decomposition shows that a surge in domestic EPU after Brexit referendum was the reason behind a massive depreciation of the British pound. These results are robust to different model specifications.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:186:y:2020:i:c:s0165176519303842
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26