Spurious Regression and Trending Variables*

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2007
Volume: 69
Issue: 3
Pages: 439-444

Authors (2)

Antonio E. Noriega (Banco de México) Daniel Ventosa‐Santaulària (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper analyses the asymptotic and finite‐sample implications of different types of non‐stationary behaviour among the dependent and explanatory variables in a linear spurious regression model. We study cases when the non‐stationarity in the dependent and explanatory variables is deterministic as well as stochastic. In particular, we derive the order in probability of the t‐statistic in a spurious regression equation under a variety of empirically relevant data generation processes, and show that the spurious regression phenomenon is present in all cases when both dependent and explanatory variables behave in a non‐stationary way. Simulation experiments confirm our asymptotic results.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:69:y:2007:i:3:p:439-444
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-26