Credit Default Swaps and Firm Cyclicality

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Year: 2025
Volume: 60
Issue: 2
Pages: 1014-1041

Authors (3)

Norden, Lars (Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV)) Yin, Chao (not in RePEc) Zhao, Lei (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We find firm cyclicality decreases by 40% after the inception of credit default swap (CDS) trading. The effect stems from CDS firms’ less aggressive asset growth in good times and is stronger for firms facing a more severe empty creditor problem. Important identification issues are addressed. The result cannot be explained with debt overhang, bank lending cyclicality, or the cyclicality of firms’ business fundamentals. It holds for the cyclicality of various corporate outcomes (inventories, cash, and employment). Importantly, CDS trading impedes unhealthy growth and enhances profitability and firm value. Our finding indicates an important positive real effect of financial innovation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jfinqa:v:60:y:2025:i:2:p:1014-1041_14
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26