Nuclear Power: A Hedge against Uncertain Gas and Carbon Prices?

B-Tier
Journal: The Energy Journal
Year: 2006
Volume: 27
Issue: 4
Pages: 1-24

Authors (5)

Fabien A. Roques (University of Cambridge) William J. Nuttall (The Open University STEM Facul...) David M. Newbery (not in RePEc) Richard de Neufville (not in RePEc) Stephen Connors (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.402 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

High fossil fuel prices have rekindled interest in nuclear power. This paper identifies specific characteristics making nuclear power unattractive to merchant generators in liberalized electricity markets, and argues that non-fossil fuel technologies have an overlooked ‘option value’ given fuel and carbon price uncertainty. Stochastic optimization estimates the company option value of keeping open the choice between nuclear and gas technologies. The merchant option value decreases sharply as the correlation between electricity, gas, and carbon prices rises, casting doubt on whether merchant investors have adequate incentives to choose socially efficient diversification in liberalized electricity markets.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:sae:enejou:v:27:y:2006:i:4:p:1-24
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-26