Swings in commercial and residential land prices in the United States

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Urban Economics
Year: 2013
Volume: 73
Issue: 1
Pages: 57-76

Authors (3)

Nichols, Joseph B. (not in RePEc) Oliner, Stephen D. (Federal Reserve Board (Board o...) Mulhall, Michael R. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We use a large dataset of land sales dating back to the mid-1990s to construct land price indexes for 23 MSAs in the United States and for the aggregate of those MSAs. The price indexes show a dramatic increase in both commercial and residential land prices over several years prior to their peak in 2006–2007 and a steep descent since then. These fluctuations have exceeded those in well-known indexes of home prices and commercial real estate prices. Because those indexes price a bundle of land and structures, this comparison implies that land prices have been more volatile than structures prices over this period. This result is a key element of the land leverage hypothesis, which holds that home prices and commercial property prices will be more volatile, all else equal, in areas where land represents a larger share of real estate value.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:juecon:v:73:y:2013:i:1:p:57-76
Journal Field
Urban
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26