Credit booms, debt overhang and secular stagnation

B-Tier
Journal: European Economic Review
Year: 2018
Volume: 108
Issue: C
Pages: 78-104

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Why do economies fall into prolonged periods of economic stagnation, particularly in the aftermath of credit booms? We study the interactions between household debt, liquidity and asset prices in a model of persistent demand shortage. We show that financially more deregulated economies are more likely to experience persistent stagnation. Credit booms or asset price booms mask this structural aggregate demand deficiency. However, the resulting debt overhang permanently depresses spending in the long run. Hence, the contractionary long run effects of relaxing lending standards are the opposite of their expansionary short run effects. These findings are in line with the macroeconomic developments in Japan during its lost decades and other advanced economies before and during the Great Recession.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eecrev:v:108:y:2018:i:c:p:78-104
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26