Consumption and Aggregate Constraints: Evidence from U.S. States and Canadian Provinces

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2002
Volume: 110
Issue: 3
Pages: 634-645

Authors (3)

Charlotte Ostergaard (BI Handelshøyskolen) Bent E. Serensen (not in RePEc) Oved Yosha (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

State-level consumption exhibits excess sensitivity to lagged income to the same extent as U.S. aggregate data, but state-specific (idiosyncratic) consumption exhibits substantially less sensitivity to lagged state-specific incomea result that also holds for Canadian provinces. We propose the following interpretation: borrowing and lending in response to changes in consumer demand are easier for individual U.S. states than for the United States as a whole, and therefore, the measured deviation from the benchmark permanent income hypothesis model is smaller. However, lagged state-specific variables help predict state-specific consumption, suggesting that the PIH model still requires qualification.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:v:110:y:2002:i:3:p:634-645
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26