Optimal Expectations and Limited Medical Testing: Evidence from Huntington Disease

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2013
Volume: 103
Issue: 2
Pages: 804-30

Authors (3)

Emily Oster (Brown University) Ira Shoulson (not in RePEc) E. Ray Dorsey (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We use novel data to study genetic testing among individuals at risk for Huntington disease (HD), a hereditary disease with limited life expectancy. Although genetic testing is perfectly predictive and carries little economic cost, presymptomatic testing is rare. Testing rates increase with increases in ex ante risk of having HD. Untested individuals express optimistic beliefs about their health and make decisions (e.g., retirement) as if they do not have HD, even though individuals with confirmed HD behave differently. We suggest that these facts can be reconciled by an optimal expectations model (Brunnermeier and Parker 2005). (JEL D84, I12)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:103:y:2013:i:2:p:804-30
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-26