Precautionary Savings, Illiquid Assets, and the Aggregate Consequences of Shocks to Household Income Risk

S-Tier
Journal: Econometrica
Year: 2019
Volume: 87
Issue: 1
Pages: 255-290

Authors (4)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Households face large income uncertainty that varies substantially over the business cycle. We examine the macroeconomic consequences of these variations in a model with incomplete markets, liquid and illiquid assets, and a nominal rigidity. Heightened uncertainty depresses aggregate demand as households respond by hoarding liquid “paper” assets for precautionary motives, thereby reducing both illiquid physical investment and consumption demand. We document the empirical response of portfolio liquidity and aggregate activity to surprise changes in idiosyncratic income uncertainty and find both to be quantitatively in line with our model. The welfare consequences of uncertainty shocks and of the policy response thereto depend crucially on a household's asset position.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:emetrp:v:87:y:2019:i:1:p:255-290
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24