Why are some favourite-longshot biases positive and others negative?

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 1998
Volume: 30
Issue: 11
Pages: 1505-1510

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Most studies of both pari-mutuel and fixed-odds betting markets have shown a systematic tendency for the expected return to bets at lower odds to exceed those at higher odds. Some work, however, has revealed in certain markets the absence or even reversal of this bias. We present a model which distinguishes two separate types of bettor, and use this to demonstrate how transactions costs, the extent of public information, and consumption benefits of betting can explain the disparities. Our empirical evidence, taken from a fixed-odds market, lends support to our theoretical conclusions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1505-1510
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-28