Belief Disagreement and Portfolio Choice

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 2022
Volume: 77
Issue: 6
Pages: 3191-3247

Authors (4)

MAARTEN MEEUWIS (not in RePEc) JONATHAN A. PARKER (Massachusetts Institute of Tec...) ANTOINETTE SCHOAR (not in RePEc) DUNCAN SIMESTER (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using proprietary financial data on millions of households, we show that likely‐Republicans increased the equity share and market beta of their portfolios following the 2016 presidential election, while likely‐Democrats rebalanced into safe assets. We provide evidence that this behavior was driven by investors interpreting public information based on different models of the world. We use detailed controls to rule out the main nonbelief‐based channels such as income hedging needs, preferences, and local economic exposures. These findings are driven by a small share of investors making big changes, and are stronger among investors who trade more ex ante.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:77:y:2022:i:6:p:3191-3247
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-28