The Cross of Gold: Brazilian Treasure and the Decline of Portugal

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic History
Year: 2025
Volume: 85
Issue: 3
Pages: 730-766

Authors (2)

Kedrosky, Davis (not in RePEc) Palma, Nuno (University of Manchester)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

As late as 1750, Portugal had a high output per head by Western European standards. Yet just a century later, Portugal was this region’s poorest country. In this paper, we show that the discovery of massive quantities of gold in Brazil over the eighteenth century played a key role in the long-run development of Portugal. The country suffered from an economic and political resource curse. A counterfactual based on synthetic control methods suggests that by 1800 Portugal’s GDP per capita was 40 percent lower than it would have been without its endowment of Brazilian gold.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jechis:v:85:y:2025:i:3:p:730-766_4
Journal Field
Economic History
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-28