Score contribution per author:
α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count
Yes, they mattered. To reply to this question, we assess the predictive content of macroeconomic and financial latent factors on the key variables (Industrial Productivity, Short-term interest rate, and Inflation) during the Great Recession period (2007–2009) in the United States. In this respect, we propose a forecasting analysis using a Factor Augmented VAR model. When we estimate the model with only financial factors, we improve the predictions in the short and medium horizons. Meanwhile, when we estimate the model with only macroeconomic factors, we improve the forecasting performance in the longer horizon.