Economic policy uncertainty and the supply of business loans

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2020
Volume: 121
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using a Vector Autoregressive framework of analysis, we show that banks contract their supply of business credit in response to an exogenous increase in economic policy uncertainty. This contraction takes two main, distinct forms. On the one hand, banks restrict their supply of spot funds, which we document using flows of loans and term loan originations. On the other hand, banks also curtail their provision of liquidity insurance, reducing the amount of new credit lines and embedding in them a pricing structure that reduces the probability of borrowers drawing down on the lines. At the peak of the responses, we find that a one-standard-deviation increase in EPU causes a contraction in the supply of business loans between 3 and 5% on the extensive margin.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:121:y:2020:i:c:s0378426620302454
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24