Political Price Cycles in Regulated Industries: Theory and Evidence

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
Year: 2013
Volume: 5
Issue: 1
Pages: 94-121

Authors (2)

Rodrigo M. S. Moita (not in RePEc) Claudio Paiva

Score contribution per author:

2.018 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The early work of Stigler (1971) treats the regulatory process as the arbitration of conflicting economic and political interests rather than a pure welfare-maximizing effort. This paper builds on these ideas and models the regulatory process as a game where the industry-lobby, consumers-voters, and a regulator-politician interact to define the regulated price, in alternating electoral and non-electoral periods. The equilibrium that emerges consists of a fully rational political price cycle in a regulated industry. Using monthly data for regulated gasoline and electricity prices from Brazil, we find strong evidence pointing towards the existence of electoral price cycles in both markets. (JEL D72, L51, L71, L78, L94, L98, O14)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejpol:v:5:y:2013:i:1:p:94-121
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-28