Real Term Structure and Inflation Compensation in the Euro Area

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Central Banking
Year: 2014
Volume: 10
Issue: 1
Pages: 1-42

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper estimates the term structure of zero-coupon real interest rates for the euro area implied by French indexlinked bonds with a smoothing spline methodology, which is very effective in capturing the general shape of the real term structure, while smoothing through idiosyncratic variations in the yields. A comparison shows that the chosen spline outperforms other methodologies commonly used in the literature across several dimensions. The paper also estimates a liquidity-adjusted nominal term structure to compute the constant-maturity inflation compensation. This compensation is compared with the surveyed inflation expectation in order to obtain a measure of the inflation risk premium in the euro area during the last decade.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ijc:ijcjou:y:2014:q:1:a:1
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-28