Measuring the UK short-run NAIRU

C-Tier
Journal: Oxford Economic Papers
Year: 2006
Volume: 58
Issue: 1
Pages: 28-49

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper derives alternative measures of the short-run NAIRU (SRN) for the United Kingdom, the rate for unemployment at which inflation will neither increase nor decrease in the short-run. We estimate the NAIRU jointly with price equations by using the Kalman filter. Our work suggests that both structural changes in the labour market and favourable supply shocks may have had a beneficial impact on RPIX inflation over the last few years. We show that deviations of unemployment from the short-run NAIRU measures prove helpful in explaining inflation and we demonstrate their usefulness in constructing Taylor-type policy rules for the interest rate. Copyright 2006, Oxford University Press.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:oxecpp:v:58:y:2006:i:1:p:28-49
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24