On the Empirical Content of Cheap-Talk Signaling: An Application to Bargaining

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2019
Volume: 127
Issue: 4
Pages: 1599 - 1628

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We outline a framework for the empirical analysis of signaling games based on three features: sorting, incentive compatibility, and beliefs. We apply it to document cheap-talk signaling in the use of round-number offers during negotiations. Using millions of online bargaining interactions, we show that items listed at multiples of $100 receive offers that are 8–12 percent lower but are 15–25 percent more likely to sell, demonstrating the trade-off requisite for incentive compatibility. Those same sellers are more likely to accept a similar offer, and buyers are more likely to investigate their listings, consistent with seller sorting and buyer belief updating.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/701699
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24