Through scarcity to prosperity: Toward a theory of sustainable growth

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 117
Issue: C
Pages: 243-257

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

To make progress toward a comprehensive theory of sustainable growth, this paper integrates fertility choice and exhaustible resource dynamics in a tractable model of endogenous technological change. The model identifies conditions under which the interdependence of population, resources and technology produces a transition that consists of three phases: (1) an initial phase where agents exploit exhaustible natural resources to support population growth; (2) an intermediate phase where agents turn on the Schumpeterian engine of endogenous innovation in response to population-led market expansion; (3) a terminal phase where knowledge accumulation becomes the sole engine of growth. The last phase is crucial: not only economic growth no longer requires growth of physical inputs, but technological change also compensates for the exhaustion of the natural resource.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:117:y:2021:i:c:p:243-257
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-29