Pricing protest: the response of financial markets to social unrest

B-Tier
Journal: Review of Finance
Year: 2024
Volume: 28
Issue: 4
Pages: 1419-1450

Authors (5)

Philip Barrett (International Monetary Fund (I...) Mariia Bondar (not in RePEc) Sophia Chen (not in RePEc) Mali Chivakul (not in RePEc) Deniz Igan (International Monetary Fund (I...)

Score contribution per author:

0.402 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We identify start days of 156 episodes of social unrest from textual analysis of media reports and show a systematic negative impact of social unrest on stock market performance. Social unrest on average leads to a 1.4 percentage point drop in cumulative abnormal returns in 2 weeks, more for events that last longer and that happen in emerging markets. Stronger institutions, particularly better governance and more democratic systems, are associated with a smaller adverse impact of social unrest on stock market returns. We argue this reflects the ability of better institutions to provide a more reliable way to reconcile conflicting views and dampen uncertainty after unrest.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:revfin:v:28:y:2024:i:4:p:1419-1450.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-24