Can unpredictable risk exposure be priced?

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 139
Issue: 2
Pages: 522-544

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the link between beta predictability and the price of risk. An investor who desires exposure to a certain risk factor needs to predict what next period’s beta will be. We use a simple model to show that an ambiguity averse agent’s demand is lower when betas are hard to predict, leading to a reduction in risk premiums. We test the implications for downside betas and VIX betas. We find that they have economically and statistically small prices of risk once we account for the fact that an investor cannot observe ex-post realized betas when determining asset demand.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:139:y:2021:i:2:p:522-544
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24