Mean Reversion across National Stock Markets and Parametric Contrarian Investment Strategies

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 2000
Volume: 55
Issue: 2
Pages: 745-772

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

For U.S. stock prices, evidence of mean reversion over long horizons is mixed, possibly due to lack of a reliable long time series. Using additional cross‐sectional power gained from national stock index data of 18 countries during the period 1969 to 1996, we find strong evidence of mean reversion in relative stock index prices. Our findings imply a significantly positive speed of reversion with a half‐life of three to three and one‐half years. This result is robust to alternative specifications and data. Parametric contrarian investment strategies that fully exploit mean reversion across national indexes outperform buy‐and‐hold and standard contrarian strategies.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:55:y:2000:i:2:p:745-772
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24