The Role of Expectations in Changed Inflation Dynamics

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Central Banking
Year: 2022
Volume: 18
Issue: 1
Pages: 199-238

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The Phillips curve has been much flatter in the past 20 years than in the preceding decades. We consider two hypotheses. One is that prices at the microeconomic level are stickier than they used to be. The other is that expectations of firms and households about future inflation are now less well informed by macroeconomic conditions. We use inflation expectations from surveys to help distinguish between our two hypotheses empirically.We find that reduced attentiveness can, in some cases, account for three-fourths of the reduction in the sensitivity of inflation to economic conditions in recent decades.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ijc:ijcjou:y:2022:q:1:a:5
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-29