A PANEL CLUSTERING APPROACH TO ANALYZING BUBBLE BEHAVIOR

B-Tier
Journal: International Economic Review
Year: 2023
Volume: 64
Issue: 4
Pages: 1347-1395

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study provides new mechanisms for identifying and estimating explosive bubbles in mixed‐root panel autoregressions with a latent group structure. A postclustering approach is employed that combines k‐means clustering with right‐tailed panel‐data testing. Uniform consistency of the k‐means algorithm is established. Pivotal null limit distributions of the tests are introduced. A new method is proposed to consistently estimate the number of groups. Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed methods perform well in finite samples; and empirical applications of the proposed methods identify bubbles in the U.S. and Chinese housing markets and the U.S. stock market.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:iecrev:v:64:y:2023:i:4:p:1347-1395
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-29